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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Lenkerville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 42043025300 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 4,018 · 15% of tract blocks fall in Lenkerville

Tract 42043025300 sits in Lenkerville, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 8% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,738
Renter share11.8%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$57,260

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lenkerville
Moderate
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#1,509 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lenkerville and the region

Centroid at 40.5743, -76.9262 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lenkerville scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lenkerville
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$822 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lenkerville
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lenkerville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lenkerville
2.4

How Lenkerville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lenkerville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0253003.2Lenkervilleparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 33Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 1.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak (2000)
  • 5Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42043025300
Filings dropped 38% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lenkerville

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.3/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Court records carry 33 eviction filings across 6 observed years. The worst year on record was 2000, when 2.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $57,260, an unusually wide affordability cushion. 36% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Dauphin County average of 4.6 closely.

Average gross rent is $822, close to the Lenkerville average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043025300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043025300?

Census tract 42043025300 in Lenkerville scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043025300?

Median gross rent is $822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043025300?

18.5% of residents in tract 42043025300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,018.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043025300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 32th, minority 4th, housing 65th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043025300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043025300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.70% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42043025300 compare to Lenkerville overall?

Tract 42043025300 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lenkerville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lenkerville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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