Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Catalina Eviction Risk: Moderate , Colonial Park
Tract 42043022300 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 6,030 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 42043022300 in the Catalina area of Colonial Park, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,030. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,431
Renter share51.3%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$64,834
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Colonial Park and the region
Centroid at 40.2913, -76.8167 · click any tract to drill in
Why Catalina scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Colonial Park
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,304 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Colonial Park
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Colonial Park
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Colonial Park
5.5
How Catalina compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 770Total filings over 6 yrs
- 10.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.0%Peak (2006)
- 229Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 169% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Catalina
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 770 filings here across 6 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 21.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 37% of renters. It tracks the Dauphin County average of 4.6 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043022300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043022300?
Census tract 42043022300 in the Catalina neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043022300?
Median gross rent is $1,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043022300?
6.3% of residents in tract 42043022300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,030.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043022300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 88th, minority 65th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 42043022300 considered part of Catalina?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043022300 fall within Catalina (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043022300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 770 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043022300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.99% of renter households, peaking at 21.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043022300 compare to Colonial Park overall?
Tract 42043022300 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Colonial Park at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Colonial Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Colonial Park
Top eight tracts in Colonial Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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