Neighborhood · Scranton, PA

Providence Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 7,428 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 6.3–6.9

Providence is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Scranton with 3 census tracts and a population of 7,428 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,059/month sits 1% higher than the Scranton citywide average ($1,048).

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

3 tracts · population-weighted

Providence vs Scranton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

58.9% +88%

Scranton: 31.4%

Average gross rent

$1,059 +1%

Scranton: $1,048

Average HH income

$40,183 -19%

Scranton: $49,531

Poverty rate

29.1% +33%

Scranton: 22.0%

Renter share

54.0% +8%

Scranton: 50.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.3–6.9

Why Providence scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

59% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

54% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts

9.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

29.1% below poverty line · Range 6.2–8.7 across tracts

7.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–4.6 across tracts

4.5

Risk score comparison

Providence vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Providence?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 6.3 to 6.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

6.9 6.5 6.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Providence

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42069101400	6.9	2,888	71%	$1,081
42069101300	6.5	2,967	48%	$1,073
42069100900	6.3	1,573	58%	$994

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 85%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 64%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Providence

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

408Total filings (sum)
4.34%Avg annual filing rate
7.4%Peak year (2006)
5.84%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Providence

What is the eviction-risk score for Providence?

Providence scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Providence compare to Scranton overall?

Providence scores 2.5 points higher than Scranton overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,059 vs $1,048.

What is the average rent in Providence?

Average gross rent in Providence is $1,059/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Providence residents are renters?

54% of Providence households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Scranton). The neighborhood has 7,428 residents.

Is Providence a high social-vulnerability area?

Providence sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Providence have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Providence is census tract 42069101400 (score 6.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.3 to 6.9, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Providence for landlords?

Providence carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scranton as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Providence?

Providence has 7,282 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.8%), Hispanic / Latino (17.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Providence

4.8 Green Ridge 2 tracts · pop 5,484 5.2 The Plot 2 tracts · pop 5,677 6 West Side 7 tracts · pop 17,169 6.4 Hill Section 3 tracts · pop 11,052 7 Downtown 2 tracts · pop 6,054 4.9 Petersburg 2 tracts · pop 4,790

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scranton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Providence.

6.4 Hill Section 3 tracts · pop 11,052 6.9 Downtown 2 tracts · pop 6,054 6.2 South Side 4 tracts · pop 10,877 6 North Scranton 1 tracts · pop 2,674 6 West Side 7 tracts · pop 17,169 5.8 Mt. Dewey 1 tracts · pop 4,795

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