Skip to content
Neighborhood · Scranton, PA

Providence Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 7,428 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10 · range 6.4–6.4

Providence spans 3 census tracts of Scranton, PA, population 7,428. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.4/10, Elevated tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Scranton rate of 31.4%.

The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 408 across 3 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.3/10.

The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 7.4% of renter households. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Scranton, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 3.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Downtown and North Scranton. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,059, close to the Scranton average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Providence vs Scranton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.9% +88%
Scranton: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,059 +1%
Scranton: $1,048
Average HH income
$40,183 -19%
Scranton: $49,531
Poverty rate
29.1% +33%
Scranton: 22.0%
Renter share
54.0% +8%
Scranton: 50.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.4–6.4

Why Providence scores 6.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
29.1% below poverty line · Range 6.2–8.7 across tracts
7.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–4.6 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Providence vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Providence score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.4ProvidenceNeighborhood5.0Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Providence?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 6.4 to 6.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Providence

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42069101300 6.4 2,967 48% $1,073
42069101400 6.4 2,888 71% $1,081
42069100900 6.4 1,573 58% $994
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Providence

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 408Total filings (sum)
  • 4.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak year (2006)
  • 5.84%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Providence

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Providence?

Providence scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Providence compare to Scranton overall?

Providence scores 1.4 points higher than Scranton overall (5/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,059 vs $1,048.
Q3

What is the average rent in Providence?

Average gross rent in Providence is $1,059/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Providence residents are renters?

54% of Providence households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Scranton). The neighborhood has 7,428 residents.
Q5

Is Providence a high social-vulnerability area?

Providence sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Providence have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Providence is census tract 42069101300 (score 6.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.4 to 6.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Providence for landlords?

Providence carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scranton as a whole (5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Providence?

Providence has 7,282 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.8%), Hispanic / Latino (17.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Providence

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scranton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Providence.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further