2 census tracts · pop 6,054 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10
· range 6.4–6.4
Downtown spans 2 census tracts of Scranton, PA and houses 6,054 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.4/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Scranton baseline of 31.4%, 49% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.
This is a renter market: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 33%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8.3/10. Average gross rent is $829, 21% below the Scranton average of $1,048.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. Filings are well documented here: 540 across 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 8.1% of renter households.
Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Scranton, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 2.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
With little internal variation, 6.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs ScrantonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Downtown
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
540Total filings (sum)
4.32%Avg annual filing rate
8.1%Peak year (2006)
5.71%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked
About Downtown
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?
Downtown scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Downtown compare to Scranton overall?
Downtown scores 1.4 points higher than Scranton overall (5/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $829 vs $1,048.
Q3
What is the average rent in Downtown?
Average gross rent in Downtown is $829/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?
82% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Scranton). The neighborhood has 6,054 residents.
Q5
Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?
Downtown sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 42069102500 (score 6.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.4 to 6.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Downtown for landlords?
Downtown carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scranton as a whole (5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?
Downtown has 6,152 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.6%), Hispanic / Latino (26.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
