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Neighborhood · Scranton, PA

South Side Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 10,877 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 5.3–6.4

South Side takes in 4 census tracts of Scranton, PA and houses 10,877 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.1/10, in the Elevated tier. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Cost burden runs 38% against 31.4% citywide, putting South Side 7.0% over its own city. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.3 to 6.4, a 1.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 1,731 across 4 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 34.0% of renter households. Average gross rent is $938, 10% below the Scranton average of $1,048.

Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Scranton, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 5.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, North Scranton and Hill Section score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $50,374.

48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
South Side vs Scranton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.4% +22%
Scranton: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$938 -10%
Scranton: $1,048
Average HH income
$50,374 +2%
Scranton: $49,531
Poverty rate
23.5% +7%
Scranton: 22.0%
Renter share
48.2% -4%
Scranton: 50.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Side and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.3–6.4

Why South Side scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
23.5% below poverty line · Range 4.1–7.9 across tracts
5.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–4.7 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

South Side vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Side score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.1South SideNeighborhood5.0Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Side?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 5.3 to 6.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in South Side

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42069102900 6.4 3,465 44% $831
42069102600 6.4 2,386 36% $933
42069103000 6.3 1,966 31% $1,091
42069102700 5.3 3,060 38% $965
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 90%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Side

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,731Total filings (sum)
  • 11.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.0%Peak year (2006)
  • 13.72%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About South Side

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Side?

South Side scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Side compare to Scranton overall?

South Side scores 1.1 points higher than Scranton overall (5/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $938 vs $1,048.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Side?

Average gross rent in South Side is $938/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Side residents are renters?

48% of South Side households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Scranton). The neighborhood has 10,877 residents.
Q5

Is South Side a high social-vulnerability area?

South Side sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Side have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Side is census tract 42069102900 (score 6.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 6.4, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is South Side for landlords?

South Side carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scranton as a whole (5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Side?

South Side has 11,019 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61%), Hispanic / Latino (20.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Side

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scranton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Side.

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