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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Providence Eviction Risk: Elevated , Scranton

Tract 42069101400 · Lackawanna County, PA · pop 2,888 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

42069101400 is a census tract in the Providence area of Scranton, PA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 19% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units984
Renter share65.2%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate34.9%
Median income$37,857

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Providence
Very Low
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 27 tracts In Scranton
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 60 tracts In Lackawanna County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#517 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scranton and the region

Centroid at 41.4229, -75.6664 · click any tract to drill in

Why Providence scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scranton
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
34.9% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$1,081 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scranton
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scranton
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scranton
7.5

How Providence compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Providence risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.4This tracttract 1014005.0Scrantonparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 163Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.2%Peak (2006)
  • 34Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42069101400
Filings climbed 62% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Providence. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Providence

Cost burden runs 71% here against 41.6% across Lackawanna County. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the high side, economic stress reads 8.7/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $37,857, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Against the Lackawanna County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 163 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 6.2% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42069101400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42069101400?

Census tract 42069101400 in the Providence neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42069101400?

Median gross rent is $1,081/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42069101400?

34.9% of residents in tract 42069101400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,888.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42069101400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 97th, minority 64th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 42069101400 considered part of Providence?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42069101400 fall within Providence (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42069101400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 163 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42069101400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.29% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42069101400 compare to Scranton overall?

Tract 42069101400 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Scranton at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scranton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scranton

Top eight tracts in Scranton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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