South Side Eviction Risk: Elevated , Scranton

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Lackawanna County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.9/10. At $831 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Scranton commands. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

Court records carry 1,339 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 34.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 24.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.