Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Mahoningtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Castle
Tract 42073001000 · Lawrence County, PA · pop 1,505 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 42073001000 (the Mahoningtown area of New Castle, Pennsylvania) comes in at 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $771 monthly, set against $42,321 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units734
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$42,321
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 40.9786, -80.3761 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mahoningtown scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$771 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
8.0
How Mahoningtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 17%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 42Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2004)
- 11Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 83% over the past 4 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mahoningtown
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lawrence County average of 5.5 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 8% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 42 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 4.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.8% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42073001000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42073001000?
Census tract 42073001000 in the Mahoningtown neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42073001000?
Median gross rent is $771/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42073001000?
17.6% of residents in tract 42073001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,505.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42073001000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 68th, minority 18th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 42073001000 considered part of Mahoningtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42073001000 fall within Mahoningtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42073001000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42073001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.28% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42073001000 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 42073001000 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of New Castle at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42073001000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Castle
Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East Side
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 42073001000
Parent city ↑
New Castle
4.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
Lawrence County
Parent state ↑
Pennsylvania
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6.9 / 10
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
South Side
6.7 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
Explore all 84k tracts