Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Castle
Tract 42073000800 · Lawrence County, PA · pop 3,936 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 42073000800 covers the East Side neighborhood of New Castle in Pennsylvania. Home to 3,936 residents, it scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 56% of US census tracts.
23% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $968 a month against an average household income of $52,396 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,561
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$52,396
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 40.9853, -80.3281 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Side scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$968 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
8.0
How East Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 51%Grade B
- 23%Grade C
- 5%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 88Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2006)
- 28Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 87% over the past 4 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Side
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lawrence County average of 5.5 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 88 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 5.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.8% of renter households in 2006.
Part of this tract, about 5% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42073000800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42073000800?
Census tract 42073000800 in the East Side neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42073000800?
Median gross rent is $968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42073000800?
16.2% of residents in tract 42073000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,936.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42073000800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 93th, minority 30th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 42073000800 considered part of East Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42073000800 fall within East Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42073000800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 88 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42073000800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.13% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42073000800 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 42073000800 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of New Castle at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42073000800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Castle
Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mahoningtown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 42073000800
Parent city ↑
New Castle
4.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
Lawrence County
Parent state ↑
Pennsylvania
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6.9 / 10
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
South Side
6.7 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
Explore all 84k tracts