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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

North Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , New Castle

Tract 42073000600 · Lawrence County, PA · pop 884 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 42073000600, home to 884 residents in the North Hill Historic District neighborhood of New Castle, scores 6.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 93% of US census tracts.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,038 a month against an average household income of $31,591 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 22% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units346
Renter share48.8%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate35.9%
Median income$31,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In North Hill Historic District
Elevated
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 10 tracts In New Castle
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 28 tracts In Lawrence County
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#295 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Castle and the region

Centroid at 41.0001, -80.3350 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Hill Historic District scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Castle
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
35.9% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,038 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
8.0

How North Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Hill Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 000600New Castle: 4.44.4New Castleparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 71Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 14.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.4%Peak (2000)
  • 18Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420730006002000: 20 filings (12.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (8.07/100 renter HHs)2005: 20 filings (19.23/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (17.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Hill Historic District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lawrence County average of 5.5 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 71 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 14.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.4% of renter households in 2000.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42073000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42073000600?

Census tract 42073000600 in the North Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42073000600?

Median gross rent is $1,038/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42073000600?

35.9% of residents in tract 42073000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 884.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42073000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 60th, minority 35th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 42073000600 considered part of North Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42073000600 fall within North Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42073000600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 71 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42073000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.26% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42073000600 compare to New Castle overall?

Tract 42073000600 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of New Castle at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42073000600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Castle

Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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