Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally
South Side Eviction Risk: Elevated , New Castle
Tract 42073000900 · Lawrence County, PA · pop 1,660 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Here is how census tract 42073000900, in the South Side area of New Castle eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,660. That is riskier than about 94% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $851 monthly, set against $30,573 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units713
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate40.5%
Median income$30,573
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 40.9872, -80.3475 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Side scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
40.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$851 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
8.0
How South Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 19%Grade C
- 30%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 119Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2006)
- 40Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 122% over the past 4 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Side
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Lawrence County average of 5.5 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 30% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 119 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 8.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.5% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42073000900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42073000900?
Census tract 42073000900 in the South Side neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42073000900?
Median gross rent is $851/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42073000900?
40.5% of residents in tract 42073000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,660.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42073000900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 97th, minority 49th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 42073000900 considered part of South Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42073000900 fall within South Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42073000900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 119 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42073000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.65% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42073000900 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 42073000900 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of New Castle at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42073000900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Castle
Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mahoningtown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North Hill Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East Side
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 42073000900
Parent city ↑
New Castle
4.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
Lawrence County
Parent state ↑
Pennsylvania
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6.9 / 10
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
North Hill Historic District
6.4 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
Explore all 84k tracts