Arts District Eviction Risk: Elevated

This is a renter market: 96% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 7.5/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.

Court records for this tract carry 347 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 12.2% of renter households. At $1,171 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Allentown commands.

Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Allentown, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 4.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $48,451.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.