Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

West End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Allentown

Tract 42077002304 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 4,475 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 42077002304 in the West End area of Allentown, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,475 residents. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 7% Owners 82%

Tract context

Occupied units1,968

Renter share18.1%

SVI overall0.39

Poverty rate8.6%

Median income$102,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Allentown and the region

Centroid at 40.6009, -75.5178 · click any tract to drill in

Why West End scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Allentown

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

8.6% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$1,365 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Allentown

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Allentown

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Allentown

5.5

How West End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

39%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West End

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Lehigh County average of 45.1%. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $102,500, an unusually wide affordability cushion. It tracks the Lehigh County average of 4.7 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,365, close to the Allentown average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077002304

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077002304?

Census tract 42077002304 in the West End neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 42077002304?

Median gross rent is $1,365/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077002304?

8.6% of residents in tract 42077002304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,475.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077002304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 49th, minority 46th, housing 35th.

Is tract 42077002304 considered part of West End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077002304 fall within West End (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 42077002304 compare to Allentown overall?

Tract 42077002304 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Allentown at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Allentown

Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.