Neighborhood · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Mayflower Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 11,014 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 5.8–6.2

Mayflower is a 3-tract neighborhood of Wilkes-Barre, PA and houses 11,014 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.1/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Wilkes-Barre rate of 30.7%.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. 22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. This is a renter market: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2/10. Average gross rent is $787, 17% below the Wilkes-Barre average of $946.

Court records carry 653 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.2/10.

The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 7.8% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.0% in 2006, is well off that peak. That places it #2 of 5 neighborhoods in Wilkes-Barre.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

With little internal variation, 6.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

3 tracts · population-weighted

Mayflower vs Wilkes-Barre How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

51.9% +69%

Wilkes-Barre: 30.7%

Average gross rent

$787 -17%

Wilkes-Barre: $946

Average HH income

$34,149 -29%

Wilkes-Barre: $47,970

Poverty rate

27.2% +29%

Wilkes-Barre: 21.1%

Renter share

68.6% +40%

Wilkes-Barre: 48.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mayflower and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.8–6.2

Why Mayflower scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts

4.9

Rent control risk

52% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

69% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts

9.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Economic stress

27.2% below poverty line · Range 4.1–9.0 across tracts

6.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–2.8 across tracts

2.0

Risk score comparison

Mayflower vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Mayflower?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.4 points from 5.8 to 6.2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

6.2 6.2 5.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Mayflower

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42079200800	6.2	4,059	48%	$873
42079200900	6.2	3,558	61%	$693
42079200100	5.8	3,397	47%	$783

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 73%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 85%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mayflower

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

653Total filings (sum)
4.00%Avg annual filing rate
7.8%Peak year (2004)
3.07%Latest filed (2006)

Frequently asked

About Mayflower

What is the eviction-risk score for Mayflower?

Mayflower scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Mayflower compare to Wilkes-Barre overall?

Mayflower scores 1.3 points higher than Wilkes-Barre overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $787 vs $946.

What is the average rent in Mayflower?

Average gross rent in Mayflower is $787/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Mayflower residents are renters?

69% of Mayflower households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Wilkes-Barre). The neighborhood has 11,014 residents.

Is Mayflower a high social-vulnerability area?

Mayflower sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Mayflower have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mayflower is census tract 42079200800 (score 6.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 6.2, a spread of 0.4 points.

How safe is Mayflower for landlords?

Mayflower carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wilkes-Barre as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Mayflower?

Mayflower has 10,761 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.7%), Hispanic / Latino (24.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mayflower

5.2 Rolling Mill Hill 4 tracts · pop 11,515 4.9 East End 4 tracts · pop 9,160 5.2 North End 6 tracts · pop 13,250 4.6 Goose Island 3 tracts · pop 10,871 5.2 Iona 4 tracts · pop 7,565 4.2 Miners Mills 2 tracts · pop 8,980

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Wilkes-Barre

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mayflower.

6.2 Parsons 1 tracts · pop 2,453 5.1 Rolling Mill Hill 4 tracts · pop 11,515 4.8 East End 4 tracts · pop 9,160 4.6 Goose Island 3 tracts · pop 10,871

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