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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Mayflower Eviction Risk: Elevated , Wilkes-Barre

Tract 42079200900 · Luzerne County, PA · pop 3,558 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Mayflower in Wilkes-Barre is where census tract 42079200900 sits, home to 3,558 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.3/10. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $693 a month against an average household income of $31,529 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 20% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,625
Renter share52.2%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate27.9%
Median income$31,529

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Mayflower
Moderate
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Wilkes-Barre
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 101 tracts In Luzerne County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#145 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilkes-Barre and the region

Centroid at 41.2362, -75.8766 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayflower scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
27.9% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$693 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
7.2

How Mayflower compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mayflower risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 200900Wilkes-Barre: 4.34.3Wilkes-Barreparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 284Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2001)
  • 34Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420792009002000: 35 filings (3.84/100 renter HHs)2001: 57 filings (6.25/100 renter HHs)2002: 42 filings (4.61/100 renter HHs)2003: 44 filings (4.83/100 renter HHs)2004: 42 filings (4.61/100 renter HHs)2005: 30 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)2006: 34 filings (3.81/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mayflower. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayflower

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Luzerne County average of 5.4 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 284 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.3% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42079200900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42079200900?

Census tract 42079200900 in the Mayflower neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42079200900?

Median gross rent is $693/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42079200900?

27.9% of residents in tract 42079200900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,558.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42079200900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 98th, minority 74th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 42079200900 considered part of Mayflower?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42079200900 fall within Mayflower (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42079200900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 284 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42079200900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.47% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42079200900 compare to Wilkes-Barre overall?

Tract 42079200900 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Wilkes-Barre at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42079200900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilkes-Barre

Top eight tracts in Wilkes-Barre ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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