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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Mayflower Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilkes-Barre

Tract 42079200100 · Luzerne County, PA · pop 3,397 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 42079200100, home to 3,397 residents in Mayflower in Wilkes-Barre, scores 5.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $783 a month while the average household earns $33,229 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 94% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 50% Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units964
Renter share93.7%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$33,229

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Mayflower
Very Low
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Wilkes-Barre
Moderate
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 101 tracts In Luzerne County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#480 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilkes-Barre and the region

Centroid at 41.2463, -75.8880 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayflower scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$783 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
7.2

How Mayflower compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mayflower risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 200100Wilkes-Barre: 4.34.3Wilkes-Barreparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 74Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.5%Peak (2001)
  • 6Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420792001002000: 11 filings (1.07/100 renter HHs)2001: 15 filings (1.46/100 renter HHs)2002: 10 filings (0.97/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2004: 12 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (1.75/100 renter HHs)2006: 6 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mayflower. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayflower

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Luzerne County average of 5.4 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42079200100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42079200100?

Census tract 42079200100 in the Mayflower neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42079200100?

Median gross rent is $783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42079200100?

16.4% of residents in tract 42079200100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,397.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42079200100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 15th, minority 37th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 42079200100 considered part of Mayflower?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42079200100 fall within Mayflower (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42079200100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 74 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42079200100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.09% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42079200100 compare to Wilkes-Barre overall?

Tract 42079200100 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Wilkes-Barre at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42079200100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilkes-Barre

Top eight tracts in Wilkes-Barre ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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