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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Mayflower Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilkes-Barre

Tract 42079200100 · Luzerne County, PA · pop 3,397 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

42079200100 is a census tract in the Mayflower area of Wilkes-Barre, PA. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,397. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 50% Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units964
Renter share93.7%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$33,229

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Mayflower
Very Low
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Wilkes-Barre
Moderate
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 101 tracts In Luzerne County
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#745 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilkes-Barre and the region

Centroid at 41.2463, -75.8880 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayflower scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$783 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
7.2

How Mayflower compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mayflower risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 2001004.8Wilkes-Barreparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 74Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.5%Peak (2001)
  • 6Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42079200100
Filings dropped 45% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mayflower. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayflower

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10.

Cost burden runs 47% here against 38.9% across Luzerne County. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 1.3 points above the Luzerne County average of 4.5. At $783 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Wilkes-Barre commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 74 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2001 at 1.5% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42079200100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42079200100?

Census tract 42079200100 in the Mayflower neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42079200100?

Median gross rent is $783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42079200100?

16.4% of residents in tract 42079200100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,397.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42079200100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 15th, minority 37th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 42079200100 considered part of Mayflower?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42079200100 fall within Mayflower (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42079200100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 74 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42079200100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.09% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42079200100 compare to Wilkes-Barre overall?

Tract 42079200100 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Wilkes-Barre at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42079200100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilkes-Barre

Top eight tracts in Wilkes-Barre ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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