Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Creek Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia
Tract 42101010300 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 2,632 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 42101010300 in the Mill Creek area of Philadelphia, PA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,632 residents. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,002
Renter share50.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate45.5%
Median income$32,045
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9678, -75.2254 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Creek scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
45.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Mill Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 200Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.5%Peak (2011)
- 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 213Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mill Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Creek
77% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Philadelphia County average of 49.1%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $32,045, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Average gross rent is $1,106, 21% below the Philadelphia average. The filing record is not thin: 200 evictions over 4 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 9.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101010300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101010300?
Census tract 42101010300 in the Mill Creek neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101010300?
Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101010300?
45.5% of residents in tract 42101010300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,632.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101010300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 69th, minority 98th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 42101010300 considered part of Mill Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101010300 fall within Mill Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101010300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 200 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101010300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.44% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101010300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101010300 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101010300 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101010300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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