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Neighborhood · Philadelphia, PA

Mill Creek Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 10,434 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

Mill Creek spans 3 census tracts of Philadelphia, PA, population 10,434. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8/10, placing it in the High tier. 50% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Philadelphia rate of 31.4%.

The poverty rate is 40%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.3/10. 29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.1/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $34,374 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Average gross rent is $982, 30% below the Philadelphia average of $1,397.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Court records carry 865 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 12.8% of renter households. That places it #1 of 152 neighborhoods in Philadelphia.

Judgments average 4.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Franklinville and Yorktown score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Mill Creek vs Philadelphia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.9% +59%
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$982 -30%
Philadelphia: $1,397
Average HH income
$34,374 -43%
Philadelphia: $60,698
Poverty rate
39.8% +81%
Philadelphia: 22.0%
Renter share
65.9% +37%
Philadelphia: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 8–8

Why Mill Creek scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
39.8% below poverty line · Range 8.2–10.0 across tracts
9.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.2 across tracts
1.1
Risk score comparison

Mill Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mill Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.0Mill CreekNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Mill Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 8 to 8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Mill Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42101010500 8 4,251 45% $798
42101010400 8 3,551 36% $1,109
42101010300 8 2,632 77% $1,106
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 87%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mill Creek

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 865Total filings (sum)
  • 9.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak year (2016)
  • 10.36%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 933Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.1Avg monthly observed
  • 7.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.59×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).

Frequently asked

About Mill Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mill Creek?

Mill Creek scores 8/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mill Creek compare to Philadelphia overall?

Mill Creek scores 1.4 points higher than Philadelphia overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $982 vs $1,397.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mill Creek?

Average gross rent in Mill Creek is $982/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mill Creek residents are renters?

66% of Mill Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 10,434 residents.
Q5

Is Mill Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Mill Creek sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mill Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mill Creek is census tract 42101010500 (score 8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8 to 8, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Mill Creek for landlords?

Mill Creek carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mill Creek?

Mill Creek has 10,069 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (85.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mill Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Philadelphia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mill Creek.

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