Paschall Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia

The poverty rate is 46%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $32,997, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Philadelphia County average of 6.6. At $1,167 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Philadelphia commands.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 461 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 13.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 13.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.