Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally
Poplar Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101013200 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 2,957 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
For landlords sizing up Poplar in Philadelphia, census tract 42101013200 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,103 a month while the average household earns $44,299 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 81% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,752
Renter share80.9%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate40.0%
Median income$44,299
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9662, -75.1571 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poplar scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
40.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,103 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Poplar compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 88%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 283Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.1%Peak (2016)
- 117Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 154% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 260Total filings 2020-21
- 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Poplar. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Poplar
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Philadelphia County average of 6.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.50x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101013200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101013200?
Census tract 42101013200 in the Poplar neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101013200?
Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101013200?
40.0% of residents in tract 42101013200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,957.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101013200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 72th, minority 81th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 42101013200 considered part of Poplar?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101013200 fall within Poplar (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101013200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 283 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101013200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.38% of renter households, peaking at 12.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101013200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101013200 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101013200 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101013200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 88% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Somerville
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Northwood
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Juniata
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Hartranft
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Franklinville
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Cobbs Creek
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Chopersville
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Strawberry Mansion
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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