Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Upper Holmesburg Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia
Tract 42101989100 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 1,265 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 42101989100 covers part of the Upper Holmesburg area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,265. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00
Poverty rate40.6%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 40.0361, -75.0053 · click any tract to drill in
Why Upper Holmesburg scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
40.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Upper Holmesburg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: -1,000
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- -1,000%Socioeconomic
- -1,000%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- -1,000%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.0%Peak (2012)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 22Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Upper Holmesburg. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Upper Holmesburg
The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Philadelphia County average of 6.6. The filing record is not thin: 11 evictions over 2 years of observation.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter. Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101989100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101989100?
Census tract 42101989100 in the Upper Holmesburg neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101989100?
40.6% of residents in tract 42101989100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,265.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101989100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 92th, housing -1000th.
Q4
Is tract 42101989100 considered part of Upper Holmesburg?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101989100 fall within Upper Holmesburg (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101989100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 42101989100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.00% of renter households, peaking at 0.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 42101989100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 42101989100 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101989100 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42101989100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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