Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Tioga Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101038200 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 2,819 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 6.9/10, tract 42101038200 in the Tioga Park area of Philadelphia, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,819 residents. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,221
Renter share24.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$44,164
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9964, -75.0974 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tioga Park scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,287 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Tioga Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 81%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 169Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.3%Peak (2012)
- 41Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 217Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tioga Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tioga Park
Set annual rent against average income of $44,164 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 169 evictions over 4 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 10.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101038200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101038200?
Census tract 42101038200 in the Tioga Park neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101038200?
Median gross rent is $1,287/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101038200?
17.8% of residents in tract 42101038200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,819.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101038200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 99th, minority 58th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 42101038200 considered part of Tioga Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101038200 fall within Tioga Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101038200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 169 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101038200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.63% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101038200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101038200 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101038200 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101038200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 81% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related