Tioga Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia

At $934 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Philadelphia commands. Cost burden runs 61% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $35,000, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.4 points above the Philadelphia County average of 6.6.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 410 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 10.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 9.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.