Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Coles Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warwick

Tract 44003021402 · Kent County, RI · pop 3,798 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 44003021402 covers part of the Coles area of Warwick, RI, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,798 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 18% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units1,434

Renter share30.0%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate6.6%

Median income$71,419

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Warwick and the region

Centroid at 41.7257, -71.3950 · click any tract to drill in

Why Coles scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Warwick

6.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Rhode Island legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

6.6% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,614 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Warwick

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Warwick

5.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Warwick

5.6

How Coles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
20%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Coles. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.2%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
13.4%Food insecurity
12.6%SNAP enrollment
7.5%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
30.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Coles

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Kent County average of 46.6%. Average gross rent is $1,614, 18% above the Warwick average.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10. It sits 0.8 points above the Kent County average of 4.3.

That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $71,419.

30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 44003021402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44003021402?

Census tract 44003021402 in the Coles neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 44003021402?

Median gross rent is $1,614/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 44003021402?

6.6% of residents in tract 44003021402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,798.

How socially vulnerable is tract 44003021402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 27th, minority 20th, housing 62th.

Is tract 44003021402 considered part of Coles?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44003021402 fall within Coles (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 44003021402 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 44003021402 compare to Warwick overall?

Tract 44003021402 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Warwick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warwick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Warwick

Top eight tracts in Warwick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.