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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Coles Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warwick

Tract 44003021300 · Kent County, RI · pop 4,682 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

44003021300 is a census tract in the Coles area of Warwick, RI. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,682. 72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Kent County average of 46.6%.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 2% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,174
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$92,073

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Coles
Very Low
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 22 tracts In Warwick
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#16 of 39 tracts In Kent County
Elevated
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#138 of 247 tracts In Rhode Island
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Warwick and the region

Centroid at 41.7398, -71.3871 · click any tract to drill in

Why Coles scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Warwick
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,191 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warwick
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warwick
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warwick
5.6

How Coles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Coles risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0213004.6Warwickparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county5.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Coles. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Coles

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10.

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,191, 13% below the Warwick average. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $92,073, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Kent County average of 4.3 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 44003021300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44003021300?

Census tract 44003021300 in the Coles neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 44003021300?

Median gross rent is $1,191/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 44003021300?

6.9% of residents in tract 44003021300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,682.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 44003021300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 54th, minority 16th, housing 59th.
Q5

Is tract 44003021300 considered part of Coles?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44003021300 fall within Coles (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 44003021300 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 44003021300 compare to Warwick overall?

Tract 44003021300 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Warwick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warwick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Warwick

Top eight tracts in Warwick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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