Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Meshanticut Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cranston
Tract 44007014502 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,352 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 44007014502 covers part of the Meshanticut area of Cranston, RI, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 26% here against 43.2% across Providence County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,172
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$77,857
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cranston and the region
Centroid at 41.7708, -71.4789 · click any tract to drill in
Why Meshanticut scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cranston
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,178 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cranston
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cranston
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cranston
5.5
How Meshanticut compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 13%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 39Total filings over 2 yrs
- 2.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2015)
- 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 98Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.6%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Meshanticut
18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.3/10.
It sits 1.5 points below the Providence County average of 5.7. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.8/10. Court records carry 39 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
At $1,178 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Cranston commands. The worst year on record was 2015, when 2.5% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the RI average is 5.3, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $77,857.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007014502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007014502?
Census tract 44007014502 in the Meshanticut neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007014502?
Median gross rent is $1,178/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007014502?
11.2% of residents in tract 44007014502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,352.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007014502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 41th, minority 15th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 44007014502 considered part of Meshanticut?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007014502 fall within Meshanticut (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007014502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007014502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.58% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007014502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007014502 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007014502 compare to Cranston overall?
Tract 44007014502 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Cranston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cranston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007014502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cranston
Top eight tracts in Cranston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Auburn
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Thornton
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Edgewood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Elmwood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · RI
Auburn
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · RI
Pocasset
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · RI
Knightsville
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · RI
Sockanosset
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Related