Elmwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Providence
Tract 44007014100 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,572 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 44007014100 covers part of the Elmwood area of Cranston, RI, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.7993, -71.4438 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmwood scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Elmwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 97%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 83Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2016)
- 49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 167Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.0%Food insecurity
- 18.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Elmwood
At $928 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Cranston commands. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. The filing record is not thin: 83 evictions over 2 years of observation.
Running cool, economic stress reads 3.1/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $66,726, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 44007014100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007014100?
What is the average rent in tract 44007014100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007014100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007014100?
Is tract 44007014100 considered part of Elmwood?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007014100?
Did eviction filings in tract 44007014100 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 44007014100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 44007014100 compare to Providence overall?
Was tract 44007014100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.