Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Darlington Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pawtucket
Tract 44007015300 · Providence County, RI · pop 2,674 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 7.3/10, tract 44007015300 in the Darlington area of Pawtucket, RI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,674. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units903
Renter share81.7%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$42,577
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pawtucket and the region
Centroid at 41.8902, -71.3759 · click any tract to drill in
Why Darlington scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pawtucket
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,081 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pawtucket
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pawtucket
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pawtucket
6.0
How Darlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 99Total filings over 2 yrs
- 7.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2016)
- 52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 228Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Darlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.4%Housing insecurity
- 17.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.0%Food insecurity
- 33.2%SNAP enrollment
- 16.6%Transit barriers
- 17.8%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 39.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Darlington
This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs 55% here against 43.2% across Providence County.
Food insecurity runs 35.0% against 17.8% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.7/10.
Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 99 evictions over 2 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $1,081, 11% below the Pawtucket average.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 7.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007015300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007015300?
Census tract 44007015300 in the Darlington neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007015300?
Median gross rent is $1,081/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007015300?
20.5% of residents in tract 44007015300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,674.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007015300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 98th, minority 82th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 44007015300 considered part of Darlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007015300 fall within Darlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007015300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 99 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007015300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.64% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007015300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007015300 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007015300 compare to Pawtucket overall?
Tract 44007015300 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Pawtucket at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pawtucket eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007015300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pawtucket
Top eight tracts in Pawtucket ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Darlington
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Darlington
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Darlington
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Related