Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally
Darlington Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pawtucket
Tract 44007016000 · Providence County, RI · pop 3,329 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 44007016000 covers part of the Darlington area of Pawtucket, RI, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,329 residents. Cost burden runs 29% here against 43.2% across Providence County.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 57%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,579
Renter share80.3%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$73,831
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pawtucket and the region
Centroid at 41.8827, -71.3758 · click any tract to drill in
Why Darlington scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pawtucket
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,170 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pawtucket
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pawtucket
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pawtucket
6.0
How Darlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 20%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 34%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 121Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.9%Peak (2015)
- 50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 485Total filings 2020-21
- 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.99×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Darlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.6%Food insecurity
- 19.6%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 19.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Darlington
80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2.2/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 121 evictions over 2 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.9% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pawtucket & Central Falls. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Providence County average of 5.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,170, close to the Pawtucket average.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $73,831.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007016000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007016000?
Census tract 44007016000 in the Darlington neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007016000?
Median gross rent is $1,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007016000?
12.9% of residents in tract 44007016000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,329.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007016000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 70th, minority 73th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 44007016000 considered part of Darlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007016000 fall within Darlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007016000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 121 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007016000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.10% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007016000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.99× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007016000 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007016000 compare to Pawtucket overall?
Tract 44007016000 scores 6.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Pawtucket at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pawtucket eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007016000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pawtucket
Top eight tracts in Pawtucket ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Darlington
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Darlington
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Darlington
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Related