Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Fairlawn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pawtucket
Tract 44007015000 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,678 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 44007015000 sits in the Fairlawn area of Pawtucket eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It is home to 4,678 residents. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Providence County average of 43.2%.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,784
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$92,032
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pawtucket and the region
Centroid at 41.8758, -71.4137 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fairlawn scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pawtucket
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,146 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pawtucket
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pawtucket
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pawtucket
6.0
How Fairlawn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 80%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 69Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2015)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 216Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.5%Food insecurity
- 15.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.9%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fairlawn
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.6/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 69 filings here across 2 tracked years. 8% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 5.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10.
Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $92,032, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007015000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007015000?
Census tract 44007015000 in the Fairlawn neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007015000?
Median gross rent is $1,146/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007015000?
6.5% of residents in tract 44007015000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,678.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007015000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 45th, minority 68th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 44007015000 considered part of Fairlawn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007015000 fall within Fairlawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007015000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007015000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.30% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007015000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007015000 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007015000 compare to Pawtucket overall?
Tract 44007015000 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Pawtucket at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pawtucket eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007015000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pawtucket
Top eight tracts in Pawtucket ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Darlington
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Woodlawn
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Darlington
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Darlington
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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