Monte Carlo MHC Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dunean

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Cost burden runs 57% here against 45.8% across Greenville County.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $37,083, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Greenville County average of 4.1.

Adults with no health insurance runs 22.7% against 11.3% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the SC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,037, close to the Gantt average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.