Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Emanuel Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Cayce

Tract 45063021043 · Lexington County, SC · pop 2,507 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

45063021043 is a census tract in the Emanuel Creek area of Cayce, SC. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,507 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 5% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,013
Renter share4.5%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$76,280

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Emanuel Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Cayce
Very Low
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 92 tracts In Lexington County
Moderate
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#785 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cayce and the region

Centroid at 33.9331, -81.1736 · click any tract to drill in

Why Emanuel Creek scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cayce
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cayce
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cayce
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cayce
6.7

How Emanuel Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Emanuel Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0210434.2Cayceparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Emanuel Creek

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Lexington County average of 3.9 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 45063021043

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063021043?

Census tract 45063021043 in the Emanuel Creek neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 45063021043?

1.7% of residents in tract 45063021043 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,507.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 45063021043?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 35th, minority 58th, housing 5th.
Q4

Is tract 45063021043 considered part of Emanuel Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063021043 fall within Emanuel Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 45063021043 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 45063021043 compare to Cayce overall?

Tract 45063021043 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Cayce at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cayce eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cayce

Top eight tracts in Cayce ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related