Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Emanuel Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Cayce
Tract 45063021043 · Lexington County, SC · pop 2,507 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Eviction risk in the Emanuel Creek neighborhood of Cayce centers on tract 45063021043, which scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,507 residents. It lands near the 28th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $76,280 a year. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,013
Renter share4.5%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$76,280
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cayce and the region
Centroid at 33.9331, -81.1736 · click any tract to drill in
Why Emanuel Creek scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cayce
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cayce
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cayce
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cayce
6.7
How Emanuel Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.4%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Emanuel Creek
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cayce eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lexington County average of 5.3 and below the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 45063021043
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063021043?
Census tract 45063021043 in the Emanuel Creek neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 45063021043?
1.7% of residents in tract 45063021043 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,507.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 45063021043?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 35th, minority 58th, housing 5th.
Q4
Is tract 45063021043 considered part of Emanuel Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063021043 fall within Emanuel Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 45063021043 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 45063021043 compare to Cayce overall?
Tract 45063021043 scores 2.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Cayce at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cayce eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cayce
Top eight tracts in Cayce ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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