Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cayce
Tract 45063020201 · Lexington County, SC · pop 2,499 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Here is how census tract 45063020201, in the Mill Village area of Cayce eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.3/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,499. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,241 a month against an average household income of $72,455 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,362
Renter share43.1%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$72,455
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cayce and the region
Centroid at 33.9783, -81.0571 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Village scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cayce
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,241 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cayce
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cayce
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cayce
6.7
How Mill Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 387Total filings over 5 yrs
- 12.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.9%Peak (2012)
- 53Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mill Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.5%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Village
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cayce eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lexington County average of 5.3 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 45063020201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063020201?
Census tract 45063020201 in the Mill Village neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45063020201?
Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45063020201?
20.3% of residents in tract 45063020201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,499.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45063020201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 10th, minority 46th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 45063020201 considered part of Mill Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063020201 fall within Mill Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45063020201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 387 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45063020201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.89% of renter households, peaking at 17.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45063020201 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45063020201 compare to Cayce overall?
Tract 45063020201 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Cayce at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cayce eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cayce
Top eight tracts in Cayce ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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