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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Mill Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cayce

Tract 45063020201 · Lexington County, SC · pop 2,499 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

45063020201 is a census tract in the Mill Village area of Cayce, SC. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,499. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 26% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,362
Renter share43.1%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$72,455

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Mill Village
Very Low
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Cayce
Elevated
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#9 of 92 tracts In Lexington County
Very High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#163 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cayce and the region

Centroid at 33.9783, -81.0571 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mill Village scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cayce
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,241 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cayce
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cayce
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cayce
6.7

How Mill Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mill Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0202014.2Cayceparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 387Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 12.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.9%Peak (2012)
  • 53Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 45063020201
Filings dropped 36% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mill Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mill Village

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Against the Lexington County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Court records carry 387 eviction filings across 5 observed years. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2012, when 17.9% of renter households were served.

At $1,241 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Cayce commands. In a typical year about 12.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 3.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 45063020201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063020201?

Census tract 45063020201 in the Mill Village neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45063020201?

Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45063020201?

20.3% of residents in tract 45063020201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,499.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45063020201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 10th, minority 46th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 45063020201 considered part of Mill Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063020201 fall within Mill Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45063020201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 387 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45063020201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.89% of renter households, peaking at 17.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45063020201 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45063020201 compare to Cayce overall?

Tract 45063020201 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Cayce at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cayce eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cayce

Top eight tracts in Cayce ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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