Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Cayce Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 45063020202 · Lexington County, SC · pop 2,778 · 80% of tract blocks fall in Cayce
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 45063020202 (Cayce, South Carolina) comes in at 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,035 a month against an average household income of $41,917 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,225
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$41,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cayce and the region
Centroid at 33.9592, -81.0781 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cayce scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cayce
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,035 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cayce
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cayce
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cayce
6.7
How Cayce compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 381Total filings over 5 yrs
- 19.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.6%Peak (2011)
- 78Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.6%Housing insecurity
- 15.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.2%Food insecurity
- 22.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.7%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 38.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cayce
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cayce eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lexington County average of 5.3 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 381 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 19.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.6% of renter households in 2011.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 45063020202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063020202?
Census tract 45063020202 in Cayce scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45063020202?
Median gross rent is $1,035/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45063020202?
25.1% of residents in tract 45063020202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,778.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45063020202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 80th, minority 64th, housing 30th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45063020202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 381 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45063020202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.29% of renter households, peaking at 23.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 45063020202 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 45063020202 compare to Cayce overall?
Tract 45063020202 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Cayce at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cayce eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cayce
Top eight tracts in Cayce ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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