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Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Cayce Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 45063020202 · Lexington County, SC · pop 2,778 · 80% of tract blocks fall in Cayce

45063020202 is a census tract in Cayce, SC. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,778. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 31% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,225
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$41,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Cayce
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 92 tracts In Lexington County
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Very High
National
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22,681 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cayce and the region

Centroid at 33.9592, -81.0781 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cayce scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cayce
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,035 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cayce
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cayce
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cayce
6.7

How Cayce compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cayce risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0202024.2Cayceparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 381Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.6%Peak (2011)
  • 78Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 45063020202
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cayce

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Lexington County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,035, 24% below the Cayce average. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Food insecurity runs 28.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 381 filings here across 5 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 23.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 19.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 45063020202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063020202?

Census tract 45063020202 in Cayce scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45063020202?

Median gross rent is $1,035/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45063020202?

25.1% of residents in tract 45063020202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,778.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45063020202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 80th, minority 64th, housing 30th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45063020202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 381 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45063020202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.29% of renter households, peaking at 23.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 45063020202 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 45063020202 compare to Cayce overall?

Tract 45063020202 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Cayce at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cayce eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cayce

Top eight tracts in Cayce ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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