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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Midway Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Lexington

Tract 45063021032 · Lexington County, SC · pop 3,811 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

45063021032 is a census tract in the Midway Forest area of Lexington, SC. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,811. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 9% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,436
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$114,076

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Midway Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 15 tracts In Lexington
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 92 tracts In Lexington County
Very Low
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#932 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lexington and the region

Centroid at 34.0104, -81.2151 · click any tract to drill in

Why Midway Forest scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lexington
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,656 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lexington
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lexington
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lexington
4.8

How Midway Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Midway Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0210323.8Lexingtonparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 160Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.3%Peak (2012)
  • 23Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 45063021032
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Midway Forest

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. 48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Lexington County average of 37.2%. The voucher gap is 27.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

Against the Lexington County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 160 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2012 at 10.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 45063021032

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063021032?

Census tract 45063021032 in the Midway Forest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45063021032?

Median gross rent is $1,656/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45063021032?

1.7% of residents in tract 45063021032 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,811.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45063021032?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 4th, minority 31th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 45063021032 considered part of Midway Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063021032 fall within Midway Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45063021032?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 160 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45063021032 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.10% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45063021032 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45063021032 compare to Lexington overall?

Tract 45063021032 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lexington at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lexington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lexington

Top eight tracts in Lexington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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