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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

East Lake Eviction Risk: Elevated , Birmingham

Tract 01073002100 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 2,423 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 01073002100 belongs to the East Lake area of Birmingham, Alabama. It is home to 2,423 residents and scores 5.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,059 monthly, set against $30,524 in average yearly household income, roughly 42% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 30% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,177
Renter share68.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate29.4%
Median income$30,524

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In East Lake
Very High
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 71 tracts In Birmingham
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 189 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Birmingham and the region

Centroid at 33.5650, -86.7101 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Lake scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Birmingham
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
29.4% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birmingham
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birmingham
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birmingham
3.0

How East Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 002100Birmingham: 2.92.9Birminghamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 297Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 6.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak (2005)
  • 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 010730021002000: 10 filings (2.54/100 renter HHs)2001: 28 filings (7.11/100 renter HHs)2002: 30 filings (7.61/100 renter HHs)2003: 14 filings (3.55/100 renter HHs)2005: 37 filings (12.76/100 renter HHs)2006: 31 filings (10.69/100 renter HHs)2012: 33 filings (5.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (3.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 31 filings (4.70/100 renter HHs)2015: 31 filings (4.70/100 renter HHs)2016: 29 filings (3.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 190% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Lake

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.3 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 21.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01073002100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073002100?

Census tract 01073002100 in the East Lake neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01073002100?

Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01073002100?

29.4% of residents in tract 01073002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,423.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01073002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 85th, minority 86th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 01073002100 considered part of East Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073002100 fall within East Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01073002100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 297 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01073002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.00% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 01073002100 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 01073002100 compare to Birmingham overall?

Tract 01073002100 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Birmingham at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 01073002100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Birmingham

Top eight tracts in Birmingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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