Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Birmingham

Tract 01073002401 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 2,283 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

01073002401 is a census tract in the Avondale area of Birmingham, AL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,283. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 33% Owners 19%

Tract context

Occupied units1,625

Renter share80.1%

SVI overall0.68

Poverty rate23.7%

Median income$41,863

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Birmingham and the region

Centroid at 33.5210, -86.7775 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Birmingham

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Alabama legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

23.7% poverty · this tract

5.9

Supply constraint

$1,236 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Birmingham

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Birmingham

5.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Birmingham

3.0

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
9%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
3%Grade B
15%Grade C
63%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avondale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.2%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
19.2%Food insecurity
14.3%SNAP enrollment
10.4%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avondale

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 46.3% across Jefferson County. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $41,863 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Jefferson County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,236, 12% above the Birmingham average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AL average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 01073002401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073002401?

Census tract 01073002401 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 01073002401?

Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 01073002401?

23.7% of residents in tract 01073002401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,283.

How socially vulnerable is tract 01073002401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 9th, minority 64th, housing 65th.

Is tract 01073002401 considered part of Avondale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073002401 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 01073002401 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 01073002401 compare to Birmingham overall?

Tract 01073002401 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Birmingham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 01073002401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 63% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Birmingham

Top eight tracts in Birmingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.