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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Rogers Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Anchorage

Tract 02020001000 · Anchorage Municipality, AK · pop 3,004 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 02020001000 covers part of the Rogers Park area of Anchorage, AK, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 41% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,686
Renter share81.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$51,767

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Rogers Park
Elevated
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 61 tracts In Anchorage
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 61 tracts In Anchorage Municipality
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 177 tracts In Alaska
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Anchorage and the region

Centroid at 61.2103, -149.8760 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rogers Park scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Anchorage
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Alaska legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,187 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Anchorage
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Anchorage
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Anchorage
3.5

How Rogers Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rogers Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 001000Anchorage: 3.73.7Anchorageparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rogers Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rogers Park

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

At $1,187 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Anchorage commands. Against the Anchorage Municipality average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Anchorage Municipality average of 44.0%.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Statewide the AK average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $51,767.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 02020001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 02020001000?

Census tract 02020001000 in the Rogers Park neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 02020001000?

Median gross rent is $1,187/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 02020001000?

11.4% of residents in tract 02020001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,004.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 02020001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 52th, minority 64th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 02020001000 considered part of Rogers Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 02020001000 fall within Rogers Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 02020001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 02020001000 compare to Anchorage overall?

Tract 02020001000 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Anchorage at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Anchorage eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Anchorage

Top eight tracts in Anchorage ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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