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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

South Fairbanks Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 02090000300 · Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK · pop 4,959 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 02090000300 runs through the South Fairbanks area of Fairbanks. With 4,959 residents, it scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It lands near the 5th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,234 a month against an average household income of $54,203 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 39% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,663
Renter share60.8%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$54,203

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In South Fairbanks
Very Low
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Fairbanks
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 22 tracts In Fairbanks North Star Borough
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 177 tracts In Alaska
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fairbanks and the region

Centroid at 64.8283, -147.7266 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Fairbanks scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fairbanks
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Alaska legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,234 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fairbanks
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fairbanks
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fairbanks
3.0

How South Fairbanks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Fairbanks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 000300Fairbanks: 3.43.4Fairbanksparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Fairbanks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Fairbanks

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 3.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fairbanks eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairbanks North Star County average of 3.5 and below the Alaska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 02090000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 02090000300?

Census tract 02090000300 in the South Fairbanks neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 02090000300?

Median gross rent is $1,234/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 02090000300?

14.4% of residents in tract 02090000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,959.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 02090000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 56th, minority 70th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 02090000300 considered part of South Fairbanks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 02090000300 fall within South Fairbanks (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 02090000300 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 02090000300 compare to Fairbanks overall?

Tract 02090000300 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Fairbanks at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fairbanks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fairbanks

Top eight tracts in Fairbanks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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