Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Carefree Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04013030401 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,936 · 77% of tract blocks fall in Carefree
04013030401 is a census tract in Carefree, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,936 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,423
Renter share8.3%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$145,865
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carefree and the region
Centroid at 33.8175, -111.9169 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carefree scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carefree
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,679 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carefree
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carefree
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carefree
7.7
How Carefree compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2003)
- 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 3.6%Housing insecurity
- 2.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.1%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.4%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 9.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carefree
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Housing insecurity runs 3.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Court records carry 20 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Average gross rent is $1,679, 9% above the Carefree average. Filings peaked in 2003 at 3.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013030401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013030401?
Census tract 04013030401 in Carefree scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013030401?
Median gross rent is $1,679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013030401?
8.7% of residents in tract 04013030401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,936.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013030401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 21th, minority 11th, housing 14th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013030401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013030401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.00% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013030401 struggle to pay rent?
About 3.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013030401 compare to Carefree overall?
Tract 04013030401 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Carefree at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carefree; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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