Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Cave Creek Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04013030402 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,168 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Cave Creek
Tract 04013030402 sits in Cave Creek, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 4,168 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,928
Renter share6.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$108,031
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cave Creek and the region
Centroid at 33.8615, -111.9388 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cave Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cave Creek
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,096 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cave Creek
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cave Creek
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cave Creek
3.6
How Cave Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 75Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2003)
- 6Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.5%Food insecurity
- 4.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cave Creek
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $2,096, 16% below the Cave Creek average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 75 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 11.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $108,031.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013030402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013030402?
Census tract 04013030402 in Cave Creek scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013030402?
Median gross rent is $2,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013030402?
6.3% of residents in tract 04013030402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,168.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013030402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 67th, minority 14th, housing 29th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013030402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 75 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013030402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.26% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013030402 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013030402 compare to Cave Creek overall?
Tract 04013030402 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Cave Creek at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cave Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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