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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Garfield Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013113202 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,141 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

04013113202 is a census tract in the Garfield area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,141. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.4/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 42% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units788
Renter share74.0%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate37.6%
Median income$50,857

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Garfield
High
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#115 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#105 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4550, -112.0607 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garfield scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
37.6% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$966 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Garfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Garfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 113202Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 151Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak (2001)
  • 27Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131132022001: 36 filings (6.02/100 renter HHs)2002: 35 filings (5.85/100 renter HHs)2003: 23 filings (3.85/100 renter HHs)2004: 30 filings (5.02/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (6.65/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Garfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garfield

At $966 a month, rents run 39% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.8% against 11.3% nationally. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

SNAP participation runs 28.1% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Court records carry 151 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 6.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013113202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013113202?

Census tract 04013113202 in the Garfield neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013113202?

Median gross rent is $966/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013113202?

37.6% of residents in tract 04013113202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,141.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013113202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 65th, minority 85th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 04013113202 considered part of Garfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013113202 fall within Garfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013113202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013113202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.48% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013113202 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013113202 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013113202 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 04013113202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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