Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Saint Johns Mission Eviction Risk: Moderate , Maricopa Colony
Tract 04013941000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,985 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 04013941000 in the Saint Johns Mission area of Maricopa Colony, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,985 residents. Cost burden runs 18% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units695
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate32.2%
Median income$49,926
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maricopa Colony and the region
Centroid at 33.2885, -112.1750 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saint Johns Mission scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maricopa Colony
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
32.2% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maricopa Colony
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maricopa Colony
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maricopa Colony
2.1
How Saint Johns Mission compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.4%Housing insecurity
- 22.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 51.2%Food insecurity
- 44.3%SNAP enrollment
- 29.1%Transit barriers
- 21.7%No health insurance
- 26.3%Frequent mental distress
- 50.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saint Johns Mission
SNAP participation runs 44.3% against 15.2% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Housing insecurity runs 33.4% against 14.2% nationally.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.1/10.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013941000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013941000?
Census tract 04013941000 in the Saint Johns Mission neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013941000?
32.2% of residents in tract 04013941000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,985.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013941000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 79th, minority 98th, housing 82th.
Q4
Is tract 04013941000 considered part of Saint Johns Mission?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013941000 fall within Saint Johns Mission (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 04013941000 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04013941000 compare to Maricopa Colony overall?
Tract 04013941000 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Maricopa Colony at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maricopa eviction risk Colony; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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