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Neighborhood · Maricopa Colony, AZ

Saint Johns Mission Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,985 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Saint Johns Mission is a one-tract neighborhood of Maricopa Colony, AZ and houses 2,985 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 18% of renter households.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 22.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 32%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Disability prevalence reaches 50.3% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8.1/10.

On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.1/10. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Saint Johns Mission vs Maricopa Colony How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
17.8% 0%
Maricopa Colony: 17.8%
Average gross rent
$0 -100%
Maricopa Colony: $1,718
Average HH income
$49,926 +39%
Maricopa Colony: $35,833
Poverty rate
32.2% -43%
Maricopa Colony: 56.4%
Renter share
30.7% +15%
Maricopa Colony: 26.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saint Johns Mission and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Saint Johns Mission scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
18% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Economic stress
32.2% below poverty line · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Saint Johns Mission vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Saint Johns Mission score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Saint Johns Missio: 4.74.7Saint Johns MissioNeighborhoodParent city: 3.33.3Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Saint Johns Mission

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013941000 4.7 2,985 18%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 94

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 95%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 79%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Saint Johns Mission

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Saint Johns Mission

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Saint Johns Mission?

Saint Johns Mission scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Saint Johns Mission compare to Maricopa Colony overall?

Saint Johns Mission scores 1.4 points higher than Maricopa Colony overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 18% of income on rent vs 18% citywide.
Q3

What percentage of Saint Johns Mission residents are renters?

31% of Saint Johns Mission households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Maricopa Colony). The neighborhood has 2,985 residents.
Q4

Is Saint Johns Mission a high social-vulnerability area?

Saint Johns Mission sits in the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q5

How safe is Saint Johns Mission for landlords?

Saint Johns Mission carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Maricopa Colony as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q6

What is the demographic breakdown of Saint Johns Mission?

Saint Johns Mission has 3,387 residents. Top groups: Other / Multiracial (84.8%), Hispanic / Latino (11.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (2.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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Other neighborhoods near Saint Johns Mission

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