Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Stockham Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flowing Wells
Tract 04019004513 ·
Pima, AZ · pop 3,404 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 04019004513 covers part of the Stockham area of Flowing Wells, AZ, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,404. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 12%Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,505
Renter share25.8%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate34.3%
Median income$36,550
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Stockham
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Flowing Wells
Very High
Within county
99th percentile
#3 of 270 tracts In Pima
Very High
Within state
98th percentile
#37 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Flowing Wells and the region
Centroid at 32.2837, -111.0028 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stockham scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flowing Wells
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
34.3% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flowing Wells
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flowing Wells
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flowing Wells
7.2
How Stockham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
93%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
549Total filings over 12 yrs
14.39%Avg annual filing rate
16.3%Peak (2011)
38Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2017
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
19.1%Housing insecurity
14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
28.1%Food insecurity
25.9%SNAP enrollment
15.3%Transit barriers
19.2%No health insurance
20.3%Frequent mental distress
44.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stockham
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. SNAP participation runs 25.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 549 filings here across 12 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 16.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004513
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004513?
Census tract 04019004513 in the Stockham neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004513?
Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004513?
34.3% of residents in tract 04019004513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,404.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004513?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 96th, minority 72th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004513 considered part of Stockham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004513 fall within Stockham (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004513?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 549 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004513 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.39% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004513 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004513 compare to Flowing Wells overall?
Tract 04019004513 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Flowing Wells at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flowing Wells eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Flowing Wells
Top eight tracts in Flowing Wells ranked by composite eviction-risk score.