Tract 04021000315 ·
Pinal, AZ · pop 5,268 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
04021000315 is a census tract in the Palm Springs area of Apache Junction, AZ. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,268. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%Stable renters 20%Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,326
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$70,263
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Palm Springs
Moderate
Within parent city
36th percentile
#10 of 15 tracts In Apache Junction
Low
Within county
56th percentile
#42 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Elevated
Within state
57th percentile
#756 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Apache Junction and the region
Centroid at 33.4008, -111.5294 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palm Springs scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apache Junction
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,042 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apache Junction
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apache Junction
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apache Junction
6.5
How Palm Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
61%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.9%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
9.7%No health insurance
16.4%Frequent mental distress
33.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palm Springs
Against Pinal County at 37.6%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,042, 9% below the Apache Junction average.
That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10.
Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $70,263, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021000315
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000315?
Census tract 04021000315 in the Palm Springs neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021000315?
Median gross rent is $1,042/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000315?
9.4% of residents in tract 04021000315 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,268.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000315?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 73th, minority 44th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 04021000315 considered part of Palm Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000315 fall within Palm Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04021000315 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04021000315 compare to Apache Junction overall?
Tract 04021000315 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Apache Junction at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apache Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Apache Junction
Top eight tracts in Apache Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.