Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Sunrise Canyon Eviction Risk: Lower , Apache Junction

Tract 04021000323 · Pinal, AZ · pop 2,847 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 04021000323 covers part of the Sunrise Canyon area of Apache Junction, AZ, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units1,346

Renter share14.3%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate3.9%

Median income$65,179

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Apache Junction and the region

Centroid at 33.4042, -111.5547 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sunrise Canyon scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Apache Junction

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

3.9% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,770 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Apache Junction

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Apache Junction

5.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Apache Junction

6.5

How Sunrise Canyon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

33%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sunrise Canyon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.8%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
11.9%Food insecurity
7.9%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
38.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sunrise Canyon

Average gross rent is $1,770, 54% above the Apache Junction average. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $65,179 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000323

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000323?

Census tract 04021000323 in the Sunrise Canyon neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021000323?

Median gross rent is $1,770/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000323?

3.9% of residents in tract 04021000323 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,847.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000323?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 51th, minority 38th, housing 84th.

Is tract 04021000323 considered part of Sunrise Canyon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000323 fall within Sunrise Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021000323 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021000323 compare to Apache Junction overall?

Tract 04021000323 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Apache Junction at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apache Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apache Junction

Top eight tracts in Apache Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.