Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Jacobs Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Apache Junction

Tract 04021000324 · Pinal, AZ · pop 5,368 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

04021000324 is a census tract in the Jacobs Ranch area of Apache Junction, AZ. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,368. Cost burden runs 20% here against 37.6% across Pinal County.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 11% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units2,462

Renter share14.4%

SVI overall0.54

Poverty rate9.4%

Median income$75,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Apache Junction and the region

Centroid at 33.3863, -111.5200 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jacobs Ranch scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Apache Junction

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

9.4% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,731 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Apache Junction

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Apache Junction

5.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Apache Junction

6.5

How Jacobs Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

42%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.4%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
14.1%Frequent mental distress
37.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jacobs Ranch

Average gross rent is $1,731, 51% above the Apache Junction average. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.9/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $75,000.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000324

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000324?

Census tract 04021000324 in the Jacobs Ranch neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021000324?

Median gross rent is $1,731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000324?

9.4% of residents in tract 04021000324 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,368.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000324?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 81th, minority 34th, housing 51th.

Is tract 04021000324 considered part of Jacobs Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000324 fall within Jacobs Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021000324 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021000324 compare to Apache Junction overall?

Tract 04021000324 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Apache Junction at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apache Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apache Junction

Top eight tracts in Apache Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.