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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Saguaro Eviction Risk: Lower , Yuma

Tract 04027011121 · Yuma, AZ · pop 6,557 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 04027011121 sits in the Saguaro area of Yuma eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 6,557 residents. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 7% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,385
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$80,223

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Saguaro
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 33 tracts In Yuma
Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 67 tracts In Yuma
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Yuma and the region

Centroid at 32.6514, -114.5169 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saguaro scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Yuma
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,154 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Yuma
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Yuma
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Yuma
3.0

How Saguaro compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Saguaro risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 011121Yuma: 3.43.4Yumaparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saguaro

At $2,154 a month, rents run 93% over what the rest of Yuma commands. The voucher gap is 56.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against Yuma County at 40.1%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $80,223, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Yuma County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04027011121

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027011121?

Census tract 04027011121 in the Saguaro neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04027011121?

Median gross rent is $2,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04027011121?

6.0% of residents in tract 04027011121 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,557.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04027011121?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 68th, minority 76th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 04027011121 considered part of Saguaro?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027011121 fall within Saguaro (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04027011121 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04027011121 compare to Yuma overall?

Tract 04027011121 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Yuma at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Yuma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Yuma

Top eight tracts in Yuma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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