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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Rio Sereno Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Luis

Tract 04027011601 · Yuma, AZ · pop 6,361 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

For landlords sizing up the Rio Sereno area of San Luis, census tract 04027011601 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $657 a month against an average household income of $44,894 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 28% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,717
Renter share44.0%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate31.7%
Median income$44,894

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Rio Sereno
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In San Luis
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 67 tracts In Yuma
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Luis and the region

Centroid at 32.5198, -114.7970 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rio Sereno scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Luis
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
31.7% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$657 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Luis
2.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Luis
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Luis
5.5

How Rio Sereno compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rio Sereno risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 011601San Luis: 3.03.0San Luisparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rio Sereno

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Luis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Yuma County average of 4.3 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04027011601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027011601?

Census tract 04027011601 in the Rio Sereno neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04027011601?

Median gross rent is $657/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04027011601?

31.7% of residents in tract 04027011601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,361.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04027011601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 94th, minority 100th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 04027011601 considered part of Rio Sereno?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027011601 fall within Rio Sereno (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04027011601 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04027011601 compare to San Luis overall?

Tract 04027011601 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Luis at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Luis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Luis

Top eight tracts in San Luis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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